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2024 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

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Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo
Arizona Diamondbacks	4.80	-13.6	-1.1	1802	-0.4	32.5	-32.9	1.05	0.3	-0.7	-0.5%	16.9%	-17.4%	.92	-0.6%	0.1	0.4	0.95	8.9	54	27	66
Atlanta Braves	3.61	35.1	3.9	1565	5.4	29.4	-24.1	1.03	6.0	-0.7	3.7%	20.2%	-16.6%	1.18	-0.4%	52.5	5.8	0.92	65.5	46	27	55
Baltimore Orioles	3.72	19.0	2.1	1654	5.1	31.8	-26.8	1.07	4.3	0.4	3.7%	21.5%	-17.8%	1.20	0.5%	44.9	5.1	0.90	43.2	59	38	58
Boston Red Sox	3.83	39.9	4.4	1774	3.8	33.0	-29.2	1.07	4.7	-1.2	2.1%	19.1%	-17.0%	1.04	-0.7%	45.8	4.9	0.92	55.3	57	41	49
Chicago Cubs	4.28	19.0	2.8	1844	3.7	35.3	-31.6	1.09	3.6	-0.2	2.4%	23.3%	-20.9%	1.19	-0.2%	23.0	3.3	0.94	31.7	59	28	61
Chicago White Sox	4.89	-20.8	-1.9	1820	-1.4	30.7	-32.1	1.00	-1.8	0.4	-0.4%	6.1%	-6.5%	.33	-0.1%	-15.8	-1.3	0.94	-20.9	57	42	59
Cincinnati Reds	4.33	12.8	1.4	1793	0.0	28.0	-28.0	.93	1.3	-1.3	0.0%	14.6%	-14.5%	.81	-0.7%	15.3	1.6	0.94	18.3	44	37	63
Cleveland Guardians	3.63	24.9	2.9	1785	4.7	33.6	-28.8	1.04	3.9	0.7	3.5%	24.0%	-20.6%	1.23	0.5%	47.3	5.3	0.94	43.9	67	35	69
Colorado Rockies	5.58	-26.4	-2.3	1815	-3.3	27.2	-30.5	.92	-2.3	-1.3	-1.6%	6.9%	-8.5%	.40	-2.8%	-31.8	-2.6	0.96	-19.0	37	29	65
Detroit Tigers	3.78	31.3	3.5	1700	3.5	32.5	-29.0	1.06	5.3	-1.9	2.1%	20.1%	-18.0%	1.09	-1.2%	43.6	4.8	0.92	60.9	59	27	46
Houston Astros	4.74	-29.5	-2.4	1840	0.4	30.6	-30.1	.97	-0.4	0.8	-0.2%	10.9%	-11.1%	.58	-0.1%	-5.1	0.2	0.97	-2.2	44	37	68
Kansas City Royals	3.45	35.0	4.0	1761	5.8	32.9	-27.1	1.07	4.6	0.9	3.6%	21.1%	-17.4%	1.14	0.5%	50.6	5.6	0.95	49.2	51	37	54
Los Angeles Angels	5.04	-21.8	-2.0	1831	-1.2	27.4	-28.6	.86	0.2	-1.6	-0.7%	11.6%	-12.4%	.61	-1.2%	-13.5	-1.1	0.94	2.8	35	26	81
Los Angeles Dodgers	3.46	47.9	5.0	1815	5.8	30.0	-24.2	.91	6.9	-0.5	4.1%	21.1%	-17.0%	1.05	-0.3%	66.6	7.0	0.90	76.4	45	40	63
Miami Marlins	5.51	-31.7	-2.7	1923	-2.9	30.2	-33.0	.97	-0.5	-2.5	-1.1%	6.8%	-8.0%	.37	-2.7%	-31.3	-2.5	0.98	-9.4	49	35	76
Milwaukee Brewers	4.18	11.7	1.5	1761	3.7	30.4	-26.8	.99	1.9	1.8	2.6%	21.2%	-18.6%	1.15	1.2%	21.7	2.7	0.95	13.8	49	37	61
Minnesota Twins	4.36	-8.3	-0.6	1737	1.5	28.4	-26.9	.93	1.9	-0.2	0.7%	16.3%	-15.6%	.90	-0.4%	11.4	1.5	0.92	21.5	51	33	59
New York Mets	4.64	-8.8	-0.6	1846	1.3	35.2	-33.8	1.18	1.3	-0.2	0.7%	18.2%	-17.5%	1.01	0.0%	9.0	1.3	1.00	17.9	69	30	55
New York Yankees	3.23	49.8	5.3	1803	7.5	35.4	-27.9	1.09	4.9	1.9	5.2%	24.8%	-19.6%	1.28	1.1%	67.4	7.3	0.95	53.5	54	30	53
Oakland Athletics	4.83	-27.2	-2.5	1871	0.3	28.8	-28.4	.88	-1.5	1.9	-0.2%	13.0%	-13.2%	.67	0.7%	-22.8	-2.0	0.98	-19.8	40	39	65
Philadelphia Phillies	3.64	41.1	4.6	1815	6.9	33.6	-26.7	1.03	6.1	0.6	4.4%	21.3%	-16.9%	1.08	0.4%	54.5	6.2	0.93	68.3	59	25	57
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.36	5.3	0.6	1829	2.3	33.5	-31.3	1.06	1.5	0.7	1.1%	18.8%	-17.7%	.99	0.3%	15.9	1.8	0.94	20.7	62	29	53
San Diego Padres	4.43	-6.5	-0.4	1808	0.2	28.1	-28.0	.90	1.7	-1.6	0.0%	16.2%	-16.2%	.87	-1.0%	9.0	1.3	0.92	21.3	42	38	75
Seattle Mariners	3.70	14.8	1.6	1699	3.0	27.1	-24.2	.91	4.8	-1.6	1.6%	16.0%	-14.5%	.90	-1.1%	34.3	3.9	0.90	47.6	40	27	72
San Francisco Giants	4.77	-26.9	-2.1	1860	1.7	28.9	-27.3	.91	0.4	1.5	0.6%	14.3%	-13.7%	.76	0.6%	-8.5	-0.1	0.96	-1.5	37	45	75
St. Louis Cardinals	4.73	-10.7	-0.8	1737	0.3	30.1	-29.8	.99	0.0	0.3	0.1%	14.1%	-14.0%	.77	0.1%	-2.5	0.0	0.95	2.7	44	43	55
Tampa Bay Rays	4.72	-22.7	-2.1	1859	2.7	34.3	-31.5	1.07	1.3	1.3	1.2%	17.5%	-16.3%	.91	0.6%	2.4	0.5	0.92	10.7	72	33	46
Texas Rangers	4.47	-9.0	-0.3	1839	4.2	33.5	-29.4	1.04	3.9	0.1	2.3%	20.9%	-18.6%	1.08	-0.2%	13.7	2.2	0.94	38.8	59	28	53
Toronto Blue Jays	4.73	-23.7	-2.1	1698	0.4	27.6	-27.2	.92	-1.4	1.9	0.3%	14.2%	-13.9%	.78	1.2%	-13.5	-0.9	0.95	-19.3	31	42	74
Washington Nationals	4.18	9.6	1.4	1721	0.9	30.4	-29.5	1.02	1.5	-0.6	0.2%	15.3%	-15.1%	.86	-0.6%	21.3	2.6	0.96	18.0	50	43	66
League Average	4.32	4	1	1787	2	31	-29	1.00	2	0	1%	17%	-16%	.90	0%	17	2	0	23	51	34	62
	4.32	109.5	21.0	53605	65.8	930.3	-864.4	1.00	64.0	2.0	41.5%	506.4%	-465.0%	.90	8.0%	505.2	64.7	0.94	698.8	1522	1028	1852
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo